“The United States played its winning leaf by bombing key sites in Iran,” said Eric Brower of the Nuclear Initiative. But while the nuclear program is definitely behind, it has not lost “Iran is not willing to accept US terms for the agreement,” he added. But the United States still needs an agreement for every […]
“The United States played its winning leaf by bombing key sites in Iran,” said Eric Brower of the Nuclear Initiative. But while the nuclear program is definitely behind, it has not lost
“Iran is not willing to accept US terms for the agreement,” he added. But the United States still needs an agreement for every sustainable solution. So, in many ways we have returned to the top point again. “
The sanctions that return to the Snapbec mechanism require Iran to suspend all enrichment -related activities and prohibit the import of anything that can be effective in these activities or in the development of nuclear weapons launch systems such as ballistic missiles.
With the start of SnapBack, Iran has announced that it will diplomatically respond, pointing out that it may reduce its cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, just when Western powers and the Agency are demanding responses to the state of high uranium reserves.
A senior Iranian official said shortly before the SnapBack was implemented: “If the SnapBack mechanism is activated and the sanctions are returned, we will definitely review our relations with the agency. The restrictions on the inspections will definitely exacerbate. “
Following the launch of the Israeli bombing campaign, the Iranian parliament passed a law that suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and considered inspections subject to the approval of the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency said this month that an agreement was expected to pave the way for complete resumption of inspections, but no progress has been made since then.
European diplomats said they were returning to the strategy they have pursued for year 4: a combination of pressure and dialogue.
However, unlike a decade ago, the great powers have split after events such as the Ukraine War, making it more difficult for Iran to reach an agreement.
Russia and China made their last attempt to prevent SnapBack on Friday at the UN Security Council, but failed.
“Iran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency is already limited and can be worsened, but I don’t think Iran will take the final step and leave the Nuclear Weapon Prohibition Treaty,” said one European diplomats. He added that he does not think China or Russia would accept that Iran would move quickly towards building a bomb. “And if they do, Israel will not accept it.”
An Israeli official said Israel currently has no reason to renew attacks on Iran unless Tehran is secretly promoting its nuclear program, adding, “They know that we are careful.”
The diplomatic deadlock seems to enter a long -term stressful stage; The agency inspectors are absent, and as a result, the ambiguity about what Iran is doing on the scene is likely to increase.
“For Iranians, the growth of the pre -war nuclear program was the main point of their leverage – now that is the ambiguity,” said Ali Vaez of the International Crisis Group.
“But this is a risky gambling: If Iran is trying to revive parts of its program and identify the IAEA inspectors at the scene, it will only exacerbate concerns about its intentions,” he said.
(tagstotranslate) Europe (T) Mechanism of the trigger
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